1. Kansas City Chiefs – Geno Smith QB West Virginia
How can a team that rushed for 350 yards in Week 17 possibly lose? For the same reason that a team with five Pro-Bowlers manages only two wins; by rolling out the likes of Brady Quinn and Matt Cassel at QB.
Horrific QB play torpedoed any chance that the Chiefs had at success in 2012, so unless the Chiefs make yet another move for fool’s gold like Matt Flynn, Michael Vick, or Alex Smith, I don’t see how this pick can be anyone but Geno Smith. Yeah, yeah, yeah…Geno Smith isn’t Andrew Luck or RGIII, but let’s be reasonable; the 2012 QB class was an anomaly. Let’s focus on what Smith is: a toolsy, experienced prospect who just finished up a season in which he completed 71.2% of his passes for 4,198 yards, with a tidy 42-6 TD/INT ratio. He has his warts, but so did Tim Couch, David Carr, Alex Smith, Carson Palmer, Jamarcus Russell, Matthew Stafford, Sam Bradford, Cam Newton…pretty much every recent #1 overall pick not named Manning or Luck. With Andy Reid, a reknowned QB-developer, and his pass-happy WCO on their way to Kansas City, this could be the ideal setting for Smith. Let’s hope, for the sake of Chiefs fans, that Vick doesn’t hitch a ride with Reid.
Also considered: OT Luke Joeckel…Only if Brandon Albert is set free. The Chiefs will have enough cap space to keep Albert in the fold, but given his injury history, they could decide to go in another direction. But what would be the point? Without a QB, they could have an electrified, barbed-wire fence protecting the blindside and still finish last in the NFL in offense.