What are the predictions for the Big Ten Championship Game between Ohio State and Michigan State?
Well, while a majority of the media is taking Ohio State, oddsmakers have them as just 5.5-point favorites being the game is at a neutral site (Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis). Read about other NCAA Football betting news and more here.
“To put things simply, this is not the walk in the park that the general public thinks it will be,” notes Sportbet.com. “Ohio State may have to keep dreaming of a BCS Championship berth because this game is an absolute matchup nightmare for them.”
I tend to agree. While Urban Meyer is known for his uncanny ability to get his team up for the big game, we have seen some unbeaten teams fall looking ahead to BCS season.
Just last week, unbeaten Fresno State lost to San Jose State to foil their dream of playing in a BCS game, and Alabama obviously saw its hopes of a third straight national title go up in smoke unless there’s a doomsday scenario that plays out for the top two teams in the country (Ohio State and Florida State) as well as the teams vying for an SEC Championship this weekend (Auburn and Missouri).
What teams like Alabama, Auburn and Missouri have over an Ohio State is strong regular-season schedule.
The Buckeyes are 12-0 but have the 61st best school in the Football Bowl Subdivision, according to the Huffington Post. They are also just breaking even against the spread this season, going 5-5-1.
Keep in mind, Michigan State’s only loss came to Notre Dame early in the season, and the Spartans are unbeaten in the Big Ten (8-0).
Being this is projected to be a low-scoring affair, it wouldn’t be a surprise to us if the Buckeyes didn’t cover, let alone lost. In fact, against common opponents this season, Michigan State has allowed 15.5 fewer points thanks to a stout defense and a grind-it-out offense.
In the end, it’ll come down to Ohio State’s No. 3-ranked scoring offense (48.2 ppg) against Michigan State’s fourth-ranked scoring defense.
In the end, Ohio State has the fire power and – being 24-0 the past two seasons – the drive to squeak past Michigan State for the win and spot in the BCS title game, but don’t be surprised if they don’t cover the spread along the way.
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