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J-Doug, Author at BallHyped Blog Network › BallHyped Blog Network
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J-Doug

Statistics, economics and law in our national pastime and other sports.

Website: http://www.rationalpastime.com/

Twitter: @RationalPastime

MLB Postseason Projections 2013: BoSox Confirm Predictions

www.rationalpastime.com - The Rational Pastime Playoff Projection system picked the Sox in six over the Tigers and the Cardinals in six over the Dodgers. Both projections were proved correct in the past week. RPBlog is now picking the Sox to defeat the Cardinals ...

MLB Postseason Projections 2013: Tigers Survive, Sox Thrive

www.rationalpastime.com - Having vanquished the pesky Tampa Bay Rays, the Boston Red Sox now have a 38% chance—that's roughly 5:3 odds—to win the World Series according to Rational Pastime's rating and projection systems. This marks both the high point for their postseason ...

Rating Systems Challenge 2012: Survival Model a Survivor

www.rationalpastime.com - 1 Kentucky did just what every system expected, while 2 Kansas did what few systems expected, that being advance to the Final Four. In fact, only five systems put Kansas in the Final Four, while fourteen picked Carolina. Moreover, five had ...


Rating Systems Challenge 2012: Preseason Polls Got It Right the First Time

www.rationalpastime.com - "After fifty-two NCAA Tournament games (not counting the play-in round), we're right back where we started in November. Halfway through the Sweet 16, the two best performing systems—and the only two brackets that have outperformed chalk—are the AP and ESPN/USA ...

Rating Systems Challenge 2012: Chalk Prevails through Round of 32

www.rationalpastime.com - Why does chalk continue to outperform in such an anti-chalk year? "Once again, chalk rules despite the prevalence of upsets in the 2012 NCAA Tournament (the AP Postseason bracket is tied with Pure Chalk in terms of total points, but trails ...

Rating Systems Challenge 2012: Results after Day One

www.rationalpastime.com - Only one system last night picked the upset by VCU over Wichita State. Nobody had Colorado beating UNLV. "Today was a great day for polls, chalk, and Jeff Sagarin. After the first day of the Round of 64, we have a ...


NCAA Basketball Rating Systems and March Madness, 2012 Edition

www.rationalpastime.com - For the second year in a row, RP analyzes the many NCAA Men's Basketball rating systems by building brackets from them and pitting them against each other in an ESPN Tournament Challenge. Which schools do the systems like? Find out ...

An Unnecessarily Analytical Look at ESPN’s Super Bowl XLVI Picks

www.rationalpastime.com - Sixty-three ESPN experts (a term that should be taken lightly in some cases) shared their picks for Super Bowl XLVI, which kicks off tomorrow in Indianapolis. So what's a nerd to do with all this data when he needs a ...

Rational Pastime: Our Hall of Fame Ballot

www.rationalpastime.com - As part of our obligations for membership in the Baseball Bloggers Alliance, we must submit a vote on each year's Hall of Fame Ballot. Of course, even if we weren't obligated, we would anyway, because this is fun. Sturgeon General and ...

Factual Statements about Tim Tebow

www.rationalpastime.com - We're coming out of hibernation simply to share some statistics about the 2011 season of Denver Broncos Quarterback Tim Tebow, who leads the league in some important stats and trails the league in others. ...